Tim McCarver assumes that we're all idiots

>> Tuesday

In the midst of Clevland's huge fifth inning.

McCarver: "You would think that leading an inning off with a walk would lead to more multiple-run innings than leading an inning off with a home run..."

Well, I suppose if I were a moron I would think that...

"...but we did some research, and lead-off home runs have actually led to more multiple-run innings than lead-off walks."

3 comments:

Vinnie 2:33 PM  

As FJM points out, that amazingly wasn't the first time he made that observation. How dumb can this guy be? Small children are making fun of him over this one.

"Man, even I could've told you that leadoff homers result in more multi-run innings than leadoff walks. What an idiot!" -Billy O'Shea, small child

See?

Vinnie 10:49 PM  

Shit...

Go back to FJM. Yes, leadoff homers result in more runs, but it's not as overwhelming as you would think. Humbling revelation for me, Nate, and "Junior."

I guess pitchers don't like pitching from the stretch(?)... Or get spooked by a sudden loss of control?

We shouldn't have been so rash. And little Billy O'Shea should stay in school.

Nathan 9:24 AM  

Don't back down quite yet. A small difference is what should be expected, but a difference nonetheless.

For a multiple-run inning to occur at least one of the batters 2-4 have to score. If they do so, whether through a series of hits or a single home run, they would also drive in a man who leads the inning off with a walk (or single, for that matter), unless they hit into a double play or the batter gets picked off. So the possibility of a double play or pick off are all that makes up a difference.

Hell, you could even say that if your team hits a leadoff homer, there's a good chance that one of your best hitters led off the inning, and thus is not available to hit with runners on base.

So should you expect a great discrepency? No. But you certainly should expect leadoff homers to hold a slight edge on leadoff walks. And to say that it goes against conventional thinking is still idiotic.

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