That Makes a Baker's Dozen
>> Wednesday
The finish line is November 18th at RFK Memorial Stadium.
But after all the off-the-field stories this past winter are concluded, there’s still a 30 game league schedule to play, and trophies to be won. The MLS Cup playoffs have been tweaked slightly this year, with teams playing unbalanced schedules, and a new rule that gives automatic playoff berths to the top 2 teams in each conference, then the next four best teams regardless of conference, perhaps allowing one conference to send 6 teams to the playoffs. So to start of the preview, let’s take a look at the Eastern Conference, which could conceivably do that.
Eastern Conference 2006 Finish: DC United, New England, Chicago, New York, Kansas City, Columbus
2007 Predicted Finish: DC United New England, Toronto FC, Chicago, New York, Kansas City, Columbus
New England Revolution is a question mark. Despite losing USA international Clint Dempsey to the English Premier League, they have retained most of the core team that has been to the MLS Cup Final the past two years. However, Joey Franchino is out for the foreseeable future to deal with his problems with alcohol, and Shalrie Joseph is demanding a trade. Taylor Twellman has been locked up with a new contract, and the Revs certainly have the talent to get back to the title game, backed by arguably the best goalkeeper in the league in Matt Reis. However, a summer filled with USA international matches may deplete their roster, as Reis, Twellman, Pat Noonan, and Steve Ralston all figure to get callups at some point for either the Gold Cup or Copa America or both.
Toronto FC certainly looks like a playoff team on paper. Skippered by coach Mo Johnston, who got a really raw deal in New York, and backed by 13,000 season ticket holders, Toronto could be poised to make a run like the 1998 Chicago Fire. Canadian international Jim Brennan has returned from England, and has
been bolstered by some smart moves in the offseason, such as picking up DC United striker Alecko Eskandarian, Irish midfielder Ronnie O’Brien, and New England’s feisty Jose “Pepe” Cancela. Recent pickups like USA International Conor Casey from the German Bundesliga make this a team to be reckoned with. However, Toronto may too feel the bite of international callups, as their team is largely made of Canadian internationals. Toronto will likely lose 5 players in key positions (GK, back line, midfield) for a month for the Gold Cup. Canada being drawn into the Gold Cup’s weakest group will likely prolong their absence. It will be a very interesting summer on the shores of Lake Ontario.
Fire. Blanco is essentially regarded as the Dennis Rodman of Mexican soccer, and could be a blockbuster move or a huge blunder for the Harlem Avenue outfit. He has had some personality conflicts with players and coaches, a few knee problems in recent years, and is widely regarded as a cheap-shot artist. Blanco will be counted on to produce right away and earn his #10 jersey, reserved for the team’s playmaker. The Fire lost their two leading goalscorers in Nate Jaqua (L.A.) and Costa Rican international Andy Herron (Columbus), but the team returns a talented, young lineup that earned them their first trophy in 3 years last season. Chad Barrett will finally get to playserious minutes at forward in Jaqua and Herron’s absence. Sophomore Calen Carr also looks poised to pick up some solid minutes off the bench, and perhaps even start as an attacking midfielder alongside Blanco. The Fire are also starting anew between the sticks as 25-year old Matt Pickens takes over for aging veteran Zach Thornton (traded to Colorado), who didn’t play another minute after giving up a 50-yard strike from Dwayne DeRosario in a 2-2 tie last August. Youth is served in Chicago.The key to the Fire’s season will be if Barrett, The Brazilian attacking mid Thiago, and USA International Chris Rolfe can stay healthy for an entire year, something that has been hard to accomplish so far. With Jaqua and Herron’s departure, the Fire are not nearly as deep as they were last season.RBNY frankly does not deserve to go to the playoffs. They lost Youri Djorkaeff and Amado Guevara. Their offseason pickups were lackluster at best (How long before Claudio Reyna’s knees are totally shot on the Giants Stadium artificial turf?). They also signed aging goalkeeper Ronald Waterus from Holland. Waterus will turn 37 in August, so I believe that they will be a bit slow on the line, which could lead to a lot of goals. But they still just might make the postseason, because frankly, there are not a lot of good teams this year. Colorado might pass them for the last playoff spot. So might RSL.
Kansas City and Columbus are shit this year. I will be very surprised if either of them make the Cup playoffs. Kansas City might make a charge and make the top 5 sweat a bit if they can get production out of an aging Jimmy Conrad and Kevin Hartman, or any production at all out of Eddie Johnson, but EJ seems to be more bust than boom at this time.
2006 Finish: FC Dallas, Houston, Chivas USA, Colorado, Salt Lake, Los Angeles
2007 Predicted Finish: Los Angeles, Houston, FC Dallas, Salt Lake, Colorado, Chivas USA
Defending MLS Cup Champion Houston Dynamo looks on track for a solid sophomore outing. They
were able to re-sign US international Brian Ching, and keep hold on Canadian international Dwayne DeRosario, staving off interest from Europe and Toronto FC. The only real significant loss they have had is Adrian Serioux in the back line to Texas Derby rivals FC Dallas, and may suffer because of it, but they are largely the same team that lifted the Alan I Rothenberg Trophy in Dallas’s home ground last November.If the playoff format was the same as last season, RSL would make the playoffs, and who knows? They might even this year. But with the shift in playoff berths, all the power in MLS appears to be in the East, making one of those last at-large playoff berths so hard to snap up. Real has reunited Freddy Adu with his U-21 coach and brought in Panamanian international Luis Tejada, as well as brought in the very capable, if injury-plagued Nick Rimando from DC United to man the nets. This season could go either way on the Wasatch Front, but I’m optimistic on RSL.
In addition to qualification for the playoffs, the four teams with the best records (regardless of conference affiliation) will also qualify for the 2008 SuperLiga competition, the championship of club soccer in North America (USA, Canada, and Mexico). This season, I see SuperLiga spots being grabbed by Los Angeles, DC, Houston, and New England
MLS Cup Playoffs
Los Angeles over RSL (West #1 vs. West #4)
Houston over Dallas (West #2 vs. West #3)
DC United over Chicago (East #1 vs. East #4)
Toronto over New England (East #3 vs. East #2)
Los Angeles over Houston
DC United over Toronto
MLS Cup Final
Los Angeles over DC United
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